One problem here is that I am not a supporter of the GOP, I’m a libertarian. Regardless, since the GOP has closer ideals to libertarianism than does the Democratic Party I’ll defend the GOP here and there.
I agree with you that George Bush spent way too much money, particularly on the wars and the $700 billion bailout. However, to use his spending as justification to spend even more seems ludicrous and very flawed. Obama’s 2010 budget is approximately $700 billion more than Bush’s 2009 budget and although Bush’s didn’t include war spending, Obama’s doesn’t include the stimulus, which accounts for more spending than all of the Iraq war by most accounts. Stimulus and war aside, Obama increased the federal budget by more than 24% in one year. I have zero justification for the GOP’s spending over the last eight years, but I do know that using their spending as an excuse to spend even more is not only terribly flawed logic, it is taking us down the path of disaster.
It is true that the Clinton administration experienced strong economic growth in the nineties, but this was not a result of Keynesian philosophies. President Clinton was fortunate to become president at the end of a recession and at the beginning of the tech boom. If you recall, the NASDAQ, which lists many technology companies, became bloated to over 5,000 in March of 2000. However, between March and January, when George Bush took office, the NASDAQ fell back to earth and was around 2,600 when Bush was inaugurated. The point is this: while the economy did grow in the Clinton days, it was not exclusively result of his policies, but rather a result of the tech boom/bubble, which I feel had a lot to do with Greenspan’s monetary policy.
Clinton was actually relatively conservative with his tax reforms. He kept all of the tax brackets that George H.W. Bush had in place; he just added two brackets on top of the old Bush brackets. Our tax system went from having three tax brackets to five. Additionally, he was still able to keep the highest marginal tax rate below 40% because he did not spend much money. Clinton’s taxes were incredibly low by democrat standards. The last democrat President, Jimmy Carter, had a tax system that taxed the top bracket at 70%. Additionally, Clinton actually lowered the capital gains tax to 10%, increased the level of estate tax (death tax) exemption, increased the amount a person could gift tax-free, exempted capital gains tax on the sale of a personal residence, increased tax deductions for dependents, increased tax exemptions for farmers, and extended certain business tax advantages. Bill Clinton proved to be more conservative with taxation than liberal. Furthermore, he signed the North American Free Trade Agreement into law, a move that most democrats disagreed with and republicans applauded. Bill Clinton lowered many taxes and increased free trade. He even signed the Defense of Marriage Act into law, which allowed States to refuse recognition of same-sex marriages. Bill Clinton was not the fiery liberal we see today in Obama, Pelosi, and Frank. Compared to the liberals we see today and the ones we saw in the Carter days, Clinton was a bloody conservative.
Obama’s plan is indeed to increase the top marginal tax rates to similar levels as Clinton, but he is also eliminating the bottom tax bracket of 10%, which will mean that the first $17,000 of income will be taxed at 15% instead of 10%, this doesn’t help the poor at all. It doesn’t help anybody. Furthermore, he is raising capital gains taxes to 20%, compared to Clinton’s 10% and Bush’s 15%. This will remove much of the incentive to invest money, something that Clinton realized but Obama does not. He is also planning on increasing estate taxes and decreases the deductions that people in the top tax brackets can utilize. This, again, will persuade people to invest less money. Let us remember that the top 50% of income earners already pay 97% of income taxes. This means that half of the people in this nation don’t even pay income taxes. The tax system is already set up to tax the rich and not tax the poor. The more skewed this becomes the more we will have a situation where people will vote for spending because they are not paying for it and we will inch closer and closer to complete socialism.
Again, the free market did not cause this problem. Something like 2% of homes were in foreclosure when we started hearing about the end of the world from our government. When the $700 billion bailout passed congress the Dow Jones was above 11,000. Constant fear mongering by the federal government has led to people restricting where they will spend and invest and this has been a catalyst for economic collapse. When the market truly was free our economy was able to rapidly rebound from such catastrophes. Consider the Panic of 1896 and the Panic of 1913, both times J.P. Morgan and other private financiers teamed up to “bail out” financial institutions, including the U.S. Treasury in 1896, because they knew they could make a hefty profit and stabilize the economy. Trusting the market is exactly what we must do because it is what works. There were no government bailouts and everything worked our perfectly. Another example would be the savings and loan crisis in the late 80s where thousands of banks failed, and were allowed to fail. We made it out of that just fine as the free market took its course of creative destruction. When the government has intervened, such as in the Great Depression, the problems did not dissipate, they only became worse. The great depression lasted for more than a decade because of government intervention and I’m afraid that is the path we are going down again.
As far as Obama doing exactly what he ran on, I disagree. He campaigned on changing government and getting rid of earmarks. Now he is telling us that any bill the size of the Stimulus has earmarks and that we can not wait to have a perfect, earmark-free bill. He campaigned on working with democrats and republicans to pass necessary measures, not one republican voted for his Stimulus Bill – not one. The only thing he has changed about government is its size. To have a 24% increase in the budget in one year is absurd, especially when 2009’s was too high to begin with.